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Outlook 2027: six shifts in the open-source threat picture, and what each one changes for investigators.

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Supply Chain Intelligence

Know who is really in your supply chain.

Your contracts stop at tier one. Your exposure does not. We map the suppliers behind your suppliers from trade data, corporate registries and local-language sources, and show the evidence for every link so you can act on it with regulators, customs authorities and your own board.

At a glance
Supplier deep dive
10 business days per supplier
Mapped supply chain
3 to 6 weeks per product line
Coverage
Trade and shipping data, registries in 140+ jurisdictions, 41 working languages
Team
Supply chain lead, trade data and corporate records analysts, regional specialists and a red-team reviewer
Deliverable
Tiered supplier map, risk register and evidence annex
Pricing
Fixed fee by product line or supplier set

When to call us

The questions a supplier questionnaire cannot answer.

Questionnaires record what suppliers choose to say. Audits see one site on one day. Public records show who ships to whom, who owns whom and what local sources report when nobody is visiting.

Forced labor exposure

Facilities, labor transfer schemes and recruiters with documented indicators of forced labor, traced into the lower tiers of a product line.

Sanctions by ownership

Suppliers, shippers and intermediaries owned or controlled by sanctioned parties through layers that list screening does not reach.

Diversion and end use

Distributors and freight routes that carry controlled goods toward restricted destinations or end users.

Hidden concentration

Several tier-one suppliers that all depend on the same sub-supplier, port or region without the buyer knowing.

Counterfeit and gray market

Unauthorized production, overruns and parallel channels feeding your products, or your inputs, into markets you do not control.

Supplier breach exposure

Suppliers whose stolen data or network access is being traded in criminal markets, identified before the compromise reaches you.

What you receive

A map with evidence on every line.

A supply chain diagram is only as good as the proof behind each connection. Every link on our maps carries its source, its date and a confidence level, so compliance teams can defend it and procurement can act on it.

  • A tiered map of entities, facilities and shipment relationships
  • Each link graded as confirmed, probable or possible
  • A risk register ranking findings by severity and by how much product they touch
  • Ownership charts for high-risk suppliers, traced to the people in control
  • An evidence annex with every record captured, translated and hashed
  • Practical options, from a targeted supplier inquiry to re-sourcing
Resolve / Supply map: product line B 4 tiers
Entities mapped1,840
Tier-one suppliers212
Links confirmed by two or more sources 71%
Finding 1High confidence
Two tier-four facilities appear in official labor transfer notices. Both ship to a tier-three mill used by three of your suppliers.
Finding 2Moderate confidence
A freight forwarder on two routes shares a director with a sanctioned entity.
Evidence items hashed3,406

How it runs

From your supplier list to the tiers beneath it.

A typical mapping project runs for three to six weeks per product line. High-severity findings are reported as soon as they are confirmed, not held for the final report.

  1. 01 / Scope

    Week 1

    We agree the product lines, the risks that matter and the standard of evidence your regulators expect. You share your tier-one supplier list and nothing more.

  2. 02 / Map

    Weeks 1 to 3

    Analysts rebuild the lower tiers from shipment records, registries, tenders, certifications and the material suppliers publish about themselves.

  3. 03 / Investigate

    Weeks 2 to 5

    High-risk entities are researched in depth: ownership, facilities, labor sourcing and local reporting, read in the original language.

  4. 04 / Deliver

    Weeks 4 to 6

    After independent review you receive the map, the risk register and the evidence annex, with a debrief for compliance and procurement together.

Tradecraft

How the lower tiers become visible.

No single source shows a supply chain. It is assembled from many partial records, each of which a supplier had a reason to publish or a government had a duty to record.

  • Trade and shipping dataShipment records, customs data and vessel movements that show who ships what to whom, and how routes change after a restriction takes effect.
  • Corporate registry analysisOwnership, officers and addresses that connect suppliers to each other and to parties they would prefer not to name.
  • Facility identificationFactory locations confirmed from registrations, permits, imagery and suppliers' own marketing, so a risk is tied to a site and not just a company name.
  • Local-language sourcesRegional press, government notices, recruitment advertisements and worker forums read by native speakers in 41 languages.
  • Labor indicatorsRecruitment fees, labor transfer programs, restricted movement and withheld documents, assessed against recognized indicators of forced labor.
  • Certifications and tendersAudit certificates, product registrations and procurement awards that name sub-suppliers the buyer was never told about.
  • Transshipment patternsSudden new intermediaries, mismatched product codes and routes that make no commercial sense.
  • Satellite imageryCommercial imagery used to confirm that a facility exists, operates and matches what the records describe.

Questions

Supply chain intelligence FAQ

Do you need access to our systems or supplier data?

No. We work from your tier-one supplier list and public sources. We do not connect to your procurement systems and we do not need your commercial terms, which keeps the engagement simple to approve.

Do you contact our suppliers?

No. We never contact suppliers or their staff, and they are not aware of the research. If our findings suggest you should put a direct question to a supplier, we tell you what to ask and what a credible answer would contain.

How certain can a map built from public records be?

It varies by link, which is why every link is graded. Shipment and registry records can confirm a relationship outright. Other links are probable or possible, and we say what further evidence would settle them. We never present an inference as a confirmed relationship.

Does a finding mean we must drop the supplier?

Not necessarily. That decision belongs to you and your counsel, and it depends on your legal obligations and on what the supplier can demonstrate. Our role is to make sure it is based on evidence rather than on a questionnaire.

Can you keep the map current?

Yes. Suppliers change their own suppliers constantly. Retained clients have their maps refreshed on an agreed cycle and are told when a mapped entity is newly sanctioned, listed or reported.

Will your evidence satisfy a regulator or customs authority?

That is their decision, but the work is built for it. Each record is preserved in its original language with a translation, a timestamp and a SHA-256 hash, and our analysts can explain the method to an authority at your request.

Start an engagement

Bring us the question nobody else could answer.

Tell us what you need to know and why. A senior investigator will scope it with you, tell you candidly what open sources can and cannot establish, and propose a plan with a fixed fee and a firm timeline.